Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.253784 1.463329 1.696678 1.975770 2.300516 2.666515 3.110438
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.915851 1.193974 1.538855 1.997863 2.592939 3.338779 4.345584
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.701622 0.989611 1.375091 1.928625 2.703504 3.750676 5.275693
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.621155 0.933897 1.379263 2.059415 3.072611 4.527880 6.781433
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.512997 0.815214 1.269331 2.000874 3.150905 4.892159 7.735751
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.428279 0.715175 1.167474 1.931719 3.192387 5.193200 8.619510
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.363432 0.634998 1.082309 1.871796 3.232543 5.486942 9.518257
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.327533 0.596707 1.058382 1.906670 3.429185 6.053442 10.937177
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.311431 0.589925 1.085932 2.032120 3.795621 6.949344 13.040541
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.288067 0.566151 1.079384 2.093739 4.052845 7.680380 14.936776
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.263431 0.536186 1.056909 2.121293 4.247753 8.317324 16.733492
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.238413 0.501751 1.020982 2.116934 4.378206 8.844057 18.377372
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.215228 0.468510 0.984457 2.109361 4.507169 9.395395 20.169775
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.197251 0.443789 0.962250 2.129034 4.696477 10.095316 22.373026
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.173420 0.402845 0.900422 2.055084 4.675245 10.352596 23.659953
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.169427 0.405727 0.933468 2.194395 5.140663 11.709166 27.554257
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.150888 0.372264 0.881080 2.132035 5.139945 12.035506 29.144032
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.133877 0.339987 0.827100 2.058370 5.102345 12.271796 30.551541
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.119514 0.312157 0.779922 1.994536 5.079369 12.538046 32.064821
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.112487 0.301869 0.773865 2.031686 5.310332 13.440424 35.274274
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.111076 0.305984 0.804132 2.165319 5.803477 15.047591 40.491014
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.106190 0.300126 0.808179 2.230957 6.128352 16.270489 44.866276
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.099988 0.289785 0.799150 2.260308 6.360238 17.281522 48.808181